Forex Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen

[FXOpen Trader]

BTC/USD Price Exceeds $60,000 Per Coin

Several factors contributed to this:

→ Effect associated with the approval of Bitcoin ETF. The media writes that investments in these financial instruments amount to about 9k bitcoins per day, and miners produce only 900 bitcoins per day. The total investment in the Bitcoin ETF after approval on January 11 is approaching USD 50 billion. By comparison, just over USD 90 billion is invested in the 19 largest gold ETFs.

→ Expectations that Ethereum ETFs will be approved in the future, simplifying access to investments in the second largest cryptocurrency by capitalization.

→ Expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates. Cheaper credit means greater appetite for investment in higher-risk assets.

→ Expectations for the halving (scheduled for April), after which a bull market usually begins.

In mid-February, we wrote that the price of Bitcoin did not show bullish progress after exceeding the psychological level of USD 50k per Bitcoin. Technical analysis of the Bitcoin chart shows that this was due to resistance (shown by the arrow) from the median line of the green ascending channel, within which the market has been developing since the fall of 2023. Yesterday's rise, which followed the breakdown of the psychological level of 60k US dollars per bitcoin, marked the upper limit of this channel just above 64k US dollars per bitcoin and made it possible to update its contours.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

The American Currency Resumes Its Growth

The American currency, despite a rather multidirectional fundamental data, resumes growth at the end of February. In the main currency pairs, one can observe both rebounds from key levels and continuation of the main trends. Thus, the USD/CAD pair managed to strengthen above 1.3500, the GBP/USD pair lost about 100 pp after rebounding from 1.2700, and EUR/USD buyers failed to strengthen above 1.0900.
USD/CAD

Fluctuations in the oil market contributed to the strengthening of the USD/CAD pair. At the beginning of the week, sellers of the pair tried to break the support at 1.3400, but, as we see, were unsuccessful. Yesterday, the price on the USD/CAD chart not only strengthened above 1.3500, but also updated the current year’s maximum at 1.3580. If the pair's buyers do not lose their upward momentum, the price may strengthen to 1.3770-1.3700. The upward scenario may be cancelled by consolidation below the level of 1.3400.

Today, we can expect increased volatility in the pair. At 16:30 GMT+3, we are waiting for data on Canadian GDP for the fourth quarter of last year. At the same time, the basic price index of personal consumption expenditures in the US for January and indicators on applications for unemployment benefits for the current week will be published.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Yen Strengthens after Comments from Japanese Officials

This week has raised alarm bells for USD/JPY market participants who are trading the bullish momentum that has been going on since early 2024 (shown in the blue curved lines on the USD/JPY chart):

→ Vice Finance Minister Masato Kanda warned against “excessive volatility” in currency markets, hinting that the yen had weakened too much.
→ Bank of Japan board member Hajime Takata said that, in his opinion, there are prospects for achieving the inflation target of 2%, which opens the way to abandoning negative rates. Note that today there was news on inflation in Japan, which showed that it is slowing down. Thus, BOJ Core CPI in annual terms was 2.6%, a month ago = 2.6%, 2 months ago = 2.7%, 3 months ago = 3.0%.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: GBP/USD Struggles While USD/CAD Aims Higher

GBP/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 1.2600. USD/CAD is rising and might aim for a move above the 1.3580 resistance zone.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

• The British Pound started a fresh decline from the 1.2700 resistance zone.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2665 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.3545 support zone.
• There is a contracting triangle forming with resistance near 1.3580 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh decline from the 1.2700 zone. The British Pound traded below the 1.2650 support to move into further a bearish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.

The pair even traded below 1.2620 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the bulls appeared near the 1.2600 level. A low was formed near 1.2612 and the pair is now attempting a short-term recovery wave.

There was a fresh upside above the 1.2620 level. The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2681 swing high to the 1.2612 low.

Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.2681 swing high to the 1.2612 low at 1.2650 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The first major resistance on the GBP/USD chart is near the 1.2665 level.

There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.2665. A close above the 1.2665 resistance might spark a decent recovery wave. The next major resistance is near the 1.2700 level. Any more gains could lead the pair toward the 1.2750 resistance in the near term.

Initial support sits near 1.2620. The next major support sits at 1.2610, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.2540.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Price of Gold Briefly Exceeded $2,050 per Ounce

In addition to new records in the stock markets, the reaction to yesterday's news about inflation in the US was also a decrease in government bond yields and a rapid rise in the price of gold — the cost of XAU/USD jumped by 0.9% in just one hour, while the day's high exceeded USD 2,050 per ounce .

However, on Friday morning the price of XAU/USD dropped below USD 2,040 – did market participants misjudge the impact of US inflation on the price of gold?

XAU/USD chart shows that:
→ the price of gold is in a downward trend (shown in red);
→ yesterday, the price not only touched the psychological level of USD 2,050, but also reached the upper limit of the downward red channel. That is, both lines acted as a block of resistance, which appears to be a serious obstacle to the upward impulse (shown by blue lines).

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's 26 February - 1 March Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: CAC 40, AUD, OIL, AMAZON

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights..

• European Stock Markets on All-Time Roll Despite Economic Bleakness
• Australian Dollar Weakens amid Inflation News
• Brent Crude Oil Makes Sudden Rally As OPEC Countries Mull Low Output
• AMZN Share Price Hits 25-Month High After Inclusion in DJIA Index

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

 

[FXOpen Trader]

5 Stocks To Consider in March 2024

Here we are, beginning the last month of the first quarter of 2024, which has passed by in somewhat of a flash.

Perhaps the apparent speed at which the spring is approaching can be attributed to what appears to be a single issue among analysts and market participants since the beginning of the year, that being the anticipation of announcements by central banks in Western countries with regard to monetary policy. Put simply, is the rate of interest going down?

Rather interestingly, it did not. The United States led the charge of announcements relating to monetary policy this year, and contrary to popular belief, the interest rates have not been reduced. The equities and commodities markets have had extra factors to consider, including logistical dire straits in the Red Sea, meaning products cannot reach their destination as freely as last year, and OPEC+ countries looking at production cut extensions in front of a backdrop of war in the Eastern Mediterranean region.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

NASDAQ Rally Shows Tech Stocks Are Back in Focus - But for How Long?

The NASDAQ index, well known as a premier listing venue for North American technology companies across the entire spectrum from the Silicon Valley giants to recently listed newcomers, has been going from strength to strength during the beginning part of this year.

At the beginning of January, the NASDAQ was resting at a relatively low point in the mid-16,300 range and has since risen to 18,318.7 at the high points of the trading day in New York yesterday, according to FXOpen pricing.

This is a considerable increase, and apart from a few small dips along the way, it has been consistent for the majority of the first quarter of the year so far.

Yesterday's trading was of great interest to those with a keen penchant for US tech stocks, as the NASDAQ's high point of 18,318.7 represented an all-time record for the index, clearly demonstrating that these days, there is a clear distinction between enthusiasm among traders for NASDAQ-listed companies compared to two years ago when there was a sustained period of low value across NASDAQ listed stocks.

Those times are gone, and the halcyon days are back. However, the euphoria subsided slightly as the trading day came to a close yesterday during the US session, as the NASDAQ, despite a rallying group of technology stocks tied to the artificial intelligence boom keeping the values high, began to make a slight climbdown from its historic high.

Trading will begin today with the NASDAQ index standing at 18,129.1 according to the bottom of the candlestick on FXOpen charts, which is still high compared to the entire history of the NASDAQ index apart from the levels it reached during yesterday's trading.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Market Analysis: EUR/USD Eyes More Gains, USD/CHF Could Rally

EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0828 resistance. USD/CHF declined and now struggling below the 0.8860 resistance.

Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/CHF Analysis Today

• The Euro rallied after it broke the 1.0828 resistance against the US Dollar.
• There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0845 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
• USD/CHF declined below the 0.8860 and 0.8850 support levels.
• There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near 0.8850 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0800 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0828 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.

The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.0855. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0875 resistance. A high was formed near 1.0876 and the pair is now consolidating gains. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0798 swing low to the 1.0876 high.

Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.0845. The next major support is the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0798 swing low to the 1.0876 high at 1.0838.

A downside break below the 1.0838 support could send the pair toward the 1.0800 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone to 1.0765.

Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.0855 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.0875 level. An upside break above the 1.0875 level might send the pair toward the 1.0920 resistance.

The next major resistance is near the 1.0940 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1000 level.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

After Updating the Historical High, the Price of Bitcoin Collapsed by 14%

Bitcoin's previous all-time high price, recorded on November 10, 2021, was around USD 68,900 per coin (depending on exchanges).

But yesterday, the price of Bitcoin exceeded 69k! However, the jubilation from the new historical peak quickly gave way to fear — as the BTC/USD rate began to fall rapidly. From peak A to low B – the price traveled a path of more than -14% in just 5 hours.

These events highlight 2 characteristic features of the cryptocurrency market:
→ Excessive volatility, which is not typical for the stock and foreign exchange markets. For comparison: on October 19, 1987 — Black Monday — the S&P 500 index fell by about 20.5%. After this incident, there were no days when the drop exceeded 14%.
→ Emotionality of the market and the importance of psychological levels. At these levels, the price of Bitcoin often makes false punctures. Yesterday, there were 2 such punctures: a false bullish puncture of the 2021 top, and a false bearish puncture of the round level of 60k dollars for Bitcoin.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

TSLA Stock Price Falls Over 9% in Just 2 Days

The day before yesterday, trading in TSLA shares began at an opening price of USD 199.34; trading yesterday closed at a price of USD 180.51. The fall in TSLA shares led Musk to lose the title of the world's richest man to Jeff Bezos.

The main driver of the decline in the price of TSLA shares was news:
→ about the temporary shutdown of the Giga Berlin plant in Germany after an arson set by a group claiming that the company led by Elon Musk is devouring “land, resources, people”;
→ that deliveries of electric cars from the Shanghai plant have dropped to their lowest level in more than a year — which may indicate fierce competition with Chinese manufacturers.

It also became known that Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas is lowering his target price from USD 345 to USD 320 and predicting a decline in sales for FY24.

VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

The Price of Gold XAU/USD Sets a Historical Record Exceeding $2160 per Ounce

The previous high was around USD 2,135, but gold rose above USD 2,160 an ounce this morning, reaching its highest level ever, as Treasury yields weakened on hopes that the US Federal Reserve will soon begin cutting interest rates.

In a speech yesterday, the Fed chief offered no clarity, saying it would likely be appropriate to ease policy restrictions "at some point this year."

Traders now see a 70% chance of a Fed rate cut in June.

Technical analysis of the XAU/USD chart shows that:
→ the price of gold is in an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ after a false breakout of its lower border, the price confidently overcame the downward trend line (shown in red) and resistance 2,090;
→ a strong upward impulse led to the RSI indicator entering the extreme overbought zone.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

USD/CAD Analysis: Canadian Dollar Strengthens after Bank of Canada Decision

The Bank of Canada has decided to keep interest rates at 5.0% for the fifth time in a row, it announced yesterday, as it continues to look for clearer signs that inflation is moving closer to the bank's 2% target before considering rate cuts.

According to Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem:
→ the Bank is concerned that underlying inflationary pressures remain.
→ It is too early to ease restrictive policies. There is a clear consensus within the Board of Governors that the time has not come (for rate cuts).
→ We are now in a difficult phase of the monetary cycle.

These hawkish statements contributed to the Canadian dollar strengthening against other currencies, in particular against the US dollar.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Watch FXOpen's 4 - 8 March Weekly Market Wrap Video

Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: CHF, CAD, GOLD, TSLA

Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights..

• Swiss Franc Weakens after Inflation News #CHF
• USD/CAD Analysis: Canadian Dollar Strengthens after Bank of Canada Decision #USDCAD #CAD
• The Price of Gold XAU/USD Sets a Historical Record Exceeding $2160 per Ounce #XAUUSD #Gold
• TSLA Stock Price Falls Over 9% in Just 2 Days #TSLA #teslastock

Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video.

Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen.

Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions.



FXOpen YouTube


Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

#fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenint #weeklyvideo

 

[FXOpen Trader]

EUR/USD Hits 8-week High

The euro is trading above USD 1.09, hitting its strongest point since mid-January on Friday, helped by news from both the US and Europe.

Friday's news showed that the US labor market is weakening:
→ The change in employment in the non-farm sector showed an increase in jobs = 275k for the month, although last month it was = +353k.
→ The unemployment rate rose to 3.9%, although it was 3.7% for 3 months.
News of a weakening labour market could put pressure on the Fed to ease monetary policy.

Meanwhile in Europe, the ECB kept borrowing costs at a record high, citing significant progress in containing inflation, and revised its inflation expectations downward, forecasting price growth of 2.3% in 2024, and 1.9% in 2025. And during a press conference last Thursday, ECB President Lagarde told reporters that policymakers had not discussed rate cuts at that meeting.

Thus, there is reason to believe that the Fed will start lowering rates earlier (it started raising them earlier than the ECB). And this assumption is shared by many market participants, judging by the bullish dynamics in the EUR/USD market.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

The rally is over! NASDAQ leads US stock market declines

The halcyon days of US tech stock rallies with increasing values of companies listed on the NASDAQ exchange, which have taken place alongside the increasing values of other North American indices, have ended abruptly.

The past few weeks have been of great interest, with the NASDAQ index leading the charge toward a seemingly unrelenting increase in value as confidence in large companies developing AI technology, such as NVIDIA, well known for its graphics cards and now highly engrossed in AI development, as well as strong performance from specialist American firms such as Broadcom and cloud computing giant Cloudstrike Holdings which have led the rally well into March.

As well as the NASDAQ index having tailed off, other US stock indices have experienced similar decrements.

The tables turned quite significantly at the end of last week; however, when the NASDAQ index began to reduce in value, the all-time highs of last week were not replicated this week.

On Friday, the NASDAQ index was trading at 18,273.8 according to FXOpen pricing; however, as market participants anticipate the opening of the US market today, the tech-friendly index is valued at 17,975.7 at the bottom of the candlestick in the pre-market opening hours.

In keeping with the nature of US tech stocks, volatility is once again a subject of discussion across mainstream reports and among analysts, especially given that one of the contingents of the NASDAQ index that was contributing to its rally, NVIDIA, has experienced a decline in stock value by 5.5%, according to some media reports, during the course of Friday last week after a substantial rally that has seen it gain approximately 80% year to date.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

US Dollar Ended the Week under Pressure

The February labour market report was published in the United States. The number of new jobs created by the national economy outside the agricultural sector increased by 275.0k in January after an increase of 229.0k a month earlier, while experts expected an increase of 200.0k. It should also be noted that the January figure was revised from the previous estimate of 353.0k jobs. The average hourly wage in annual terms adjusted from 4.4% to 4.3%, and in monthly terms, from 0.5% to 0.1%. At the same time, the unemployment rate in February increased sharply from 3.7% to 3.9%.

EUR/USD

The EUR/USD pair shows mixed dynamics, remaining close to 1.0940. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0980, a break higher could trigger a rise towards 1.1100. On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0887, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0842.

Market activity remains subdued as investors analyse macroeconomic data released last week. On Friday, March 8, trading participants drew attention to the decline in the annual dynamics of industrial production in Germany in January by 5.5% after -3.5% in the previous month, and in monthly terms the figure strengthened by 1.0% after a reduction of 2 .0% in December against a forecast of 0.6%, which allows the German economy to emerge from recession in the near future. The German producer price index added 0.2% monthly after -0.8% in December, and slowed down by 4.4% year-on-year after -5.1%, while markets were expecting -6.6%. Trading participants also assessed statistics on the eurozone GDP product for the fourth quarter of 2023: on a quarterly basis, the figure remained at 0.0%, and on an annual basis it increased by 0.1%, which coincided with expectations.

Technical analysis of the EUR/USD pair shows that a new upward channel has formed at the highs of last week. Now the price is near the lower border and may continue to rise.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

A Weak Dollar Is the Driver of Price Records for NASDAQ-100, BTC/USD, XAU/USD

Financial market participants expect an easing of the Fed's monetary policy. The prospect of lower rates puts pressure on the value of the dollar, which in turn pushes up dollar-denominated assets. This contributed to the setting of record highs:

→ The price of BTC/USD exceeded 70k dollars per bitcoin
→ The price of XAU/USD exceeded USD 2,200 per ounce of gold
→ The NASDAQ-100 index reached 18,400 points.

But are markets too optimistic? Let's see what the technical analysis of the NASDAQ-100 chart shows today:

→ The price is in an uptrend (shown in blue), which has been in effect since the beginning of the year. The price is in the upper half, which may indicate the strength of demand.
→ Top C only slightly exceeded the level of the previous top A. It is not surprising that a bearish divergence has formed on the oscillators — Awesome Osc among them. Buyers who entered long positions at the breakout of top A found themselves in a trap. Sellers who held stops above A lost their positions.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

Australian Dollar Volatility Ends in Lull Ahead Of US Data

The Australian Dollar has recently been displaying signs of volatility, with its price varying considerably against the US Dollar over the past few months.

From a low point in October last year, the AUDUSD pair went on a sudden rally, which lasted until December before beginning to fall flat during the course of January. As February drew to a close, the AUDUSD pair began to rise in value again, reaching 0.66251 on March 4, according to FXOpen charts.

Over the past week, the Australian Dollar has been a bit dormant in its movements against the US Dollar; however, this morning's trading session in Australia and across the Asian market session began to demonstrate that some renewed interest is beginning to be shown in the Australian Dollar as the Australian economy begins to look a bit stronger.

This morning as the European markets begin to open, activity from the Australian market is being analysed and one matter of interest is that the Australian S&P index along with the ASX 200 which is an index featuring 200 well capitalised stocks on Australia's ASX exchange, showed improvement over previous performances which is being mooted as a potential strengthening factor for the Australian Dollar.

Today in Australia, financial services executives have held meetings to discuss the GDP within Australia for the fourth quarter of 2023, with nothing out of the ordinary having surfaced and data in line with expectation; however, there is anticipation regarding the forthcoming monetary policy announcements from the US Federal Reserve which may affect the value of the AUDUSD, and forthcoming CPI data in the United States for February looks set to meet expectations at 3.1, identical to that for January.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

 

[FXOpen Trader]

The US Currency Is Consolidating ahead of the Release of Inflation Data

A rather weak US employment report published last week contributed to the US dollar's decline in almost all areas. Thus, the USD/JPY pair lost more than 150 pp in just a couple of hours, the pound/US dollar pair tested important resistance at 1.2900, and euro/US dollar buyers managed to strengthen above 1.0900.

USD/JPY

The weak fundamentals from the US are bolstering investor confidence that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates later this year. And although recent statements by the head of the American regulator, Jerome Powell, can hardly be called dovish, market participants prefer short-term sales of greenbacks.

The USD/JPY currency pair fell to 146.50 at the end of last week. Yesterday, buyers of the pair managed to return the price above 147.00, but the full development of an upward correction has not yet been observed. If the pair manages to consolidate above 148.00, the price may test resistance at the alligator lines on the weekly timeframe near the range of 149.50-149.00. An update to the recent low on the USD/JPY chart could trigger a collapse to the extremes of the current year at 146.00-145.80.

Today's news on the basic US consumer price index for February will be important for the pair's pricing.

TO VIEW THE FULL ANALYSIS, VISIT THE FXOPEN BLOG

Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.