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Daily Market Analysis By FXOpen
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[QUOTE="FXOpen Trader, post: 338032, member: 104606"] [B][SIZE=5]Exchange Rates Consolidate at the Beginning of the Week[/SIZE][/B] [img]https://i.imgur.com/PXo6JIO.jpeg[/img] Trading participants continue to evaluate the prospects for a change in the US Federal Reserve's monetary course against the backdrop of the publication of the minutes of the January meeting. Officials reiterated their cautious stance on lowering borrowing costs and, moreover, expressed concern about the possibility of shifting too early to dovish rhetoric. The document strengthened investor confidence that the adjustment of parameters could be postponed until the second half of the year, which strengthens the US dollar’s position against its main competitors: at the moment, more and more investors are counting on the first adjustment to borrowing costs in June, but these expectations are also regularly revised. In the US, the publication of January statistics on the dynamics of sales of new homes is expected during the day: in the previous period, the figure increased by 8.0% month-on-month to 0.644 million units. On Tuesday, February 27, the US will release February statistics on durable goods orders and consumer confidence. Forecasts suggest a slowdown in the dynamics of orders for durable goods excluding transport from 0.5% to 0.2%. [B][SIZE=5]EUR/USD[/SIZE][/B] The EUR/USD pair shows a slight decline, holding at 1.0820. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0888, a break higher could trigger a rise towards 1.0960. On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0812, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0760. Today investors will pay attention to the speech of ECB head Christine Lagarde. In the EU, February data on inflation dynamics will be presented at the end of the week: the consumer price index is expected to slow down from 2.8% to 2.5% in annual terms, and the core indicator - from 3.3% to 2.9%. Traders continue to evaluate German data on GDP and business optimism released on Friday. Thus, the German economy in the fourth quarter of 2023 lost another 0.3% on a quarterly basis and 0.4% on an annual basis. The IFO business optimism index in February adjusted from 85.2 points to 85.5 points, which coincided with analysts’ forecasts, the indicator for assessing the current situation remained at 86.9 points with expectations at 86.7 points, and the economic expectations index increased from 83.5 points to 84.1 points, while experts expected 84.0 points. Technical analysis of EUR/USD shows that a new upward channel has formed based on last week’s highs. Now the price is near the lower border and may continue to rise. [img]https://i.imgur.com/ZDDkAVV.png[/img] [B][URL="https://fxopen.com/blog/en/ru-exchange-rates-consolidate-at-the-beginning-of-the-week/?utm_source=tptforum&utm_medium=analysis&utm_campaign=resolve"]VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog...[/URL][/B] [I][B]Disclaimer:[/B] This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only (excluding FXOpen EU). It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. [/I] [/QUOTE]
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