Wave Analysis from InstaForex

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Dear traders, participants and guests of the portal!

In this thread we present fresh Forex news. Our news contain exhaustive information about topical events and facts of the financial world; we offer international statistical data in order to help you correct and enhance your trading strategy. We also present video news from InstaForex-TV portal. InstaForex-TV channel provides the latest information about fluctuations of currency rates and forecasts their influence on the future movement of currencies. Our news will be especially useful if you prefer intraday trading and use fundamental analysis.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on March 20, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro collapsed by 250 points on Thursday, pausing on the embedded line of the price channel of the daily chart. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator slightly turned upwards, which may develop into a short-term price correction, as an option, to the February 20 low at the price of 1.0778. The departure of the quote under the price channel line (1.0644) opens the target at 1.0493 - the February 2017 low. Price taking above 1.0778 will extend the correction to 1.0879 - to the October 1, 2019 low.

The Marlin oscillator also reverses upwards on the four-hour chart, remaining within its own descending channel. We are waiting for the correction to be completed as well as for the euro to fall.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on March 23, 2020

EUR/USD
The price was marked on the support line of the embedded price channel in the region of 1.0636 on Thursday, Friday, and today. Finally, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator turned upwards on the daily chart, which creates the prerequisite for corrective growth to the level of 1.0879 - to a low of October 1, 2019. Overcoming the Friday low of 1.0636 opens the target 1.0493 - the low of February 2017.

analytics5e782f6d6ec79.jpg


On the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator did not form a strong convergence, the signal line has not yet left the zone of negative indicators. The indicator potential may be enough to work out the price of correctional target of 1.0879.

analytics5e782f8037c1a.jpg


*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on March 26, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro added more than 90 points yesterday and reached the first target level of 1.0879. Today, the euro added another 50 points in the Asian session, clearly slowing down on the resistance of the balance line (red indicator ) of the daily price scale. The next growth target is the point of coincidence of the Fibonacci level of 38.2% with the enclosed line of the price channel in the region of 1.0967. At about the same moment, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator can touch the zero line - the boundary with the growth territory, and turn down.

analytics5e7c2527a498b.jpg


The price touched the MACD line on the four-hour chart, according to Marlin there is no reversal formation, as a result, the price can make a false exit above the MACD line with working out the target on the daily timeframe, after which we wait for the price to turn down with the target at 1.0636.

analytics5e7c253b08fcc.jpg


*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on March 27, 2020 EUR/USD The euro climbed 150 points on Thursday due to rising risk appetite amid massive infusion of dollar liquidity by the Federal Reserve worth 75 billion dollars a day, the stock market will grow more than 6% (S&P 500 6.24%) and at the same time on the tragic data on applications for unemployment benefits – this past week showed the US economy's opinion in antivirus quarantine, the number of applications reached 3.283 million (!) against the forecast of 1.648 million Before the highest record figure was 669,000 in April 2009. The employment forecast for the next week shows economists' expectations for an increase in unemployment in March from 3.5% to 4.0% and a decrease in non-agricultural employment by 420,000 (in September 2008-422,000). In the euro area, the employment situation is even worse than in the US, but the markets in this situation have traditionally reacted sensitively to the very fact of bad data. Unemployment in Germany for March is expected to rise to 5.1%. We are cautious about the growth of the euro. Also, in the market, investors are taking risks with caution – the trading volume was even less than in the previous days of the week.
analytics5e7d7b62c9381.jpg
The correction was already 50% of the fall on March 9-20. The euro's desire to continue its corrective growth to 61.8% will be fraught with even greater difficulties. The Fibonacci level range of 50.0-61.8% contains multiple technical levels that have accumulated since July 2019. The price is currently above the MACD line and the Marlin oscillator has broken into the growth zone, but the market just needs to swing down a little and the indicators will again be in negative values. Consolidating the price above the Fibonacci level of 50.0% (1.1070) will make it possible to continue growth from the Fibonacci level of 61.8% at the price of 1.1170. Moving the price under the 38.2% Fibonacci level, which will also mean breaking through the support of the price channel (1.0970), opening a promising goal of 1.0630 along the lower line of the price channel. The intermediate target level of 1.0879 is the low of October 1, 2019.
analytics5e7d7b75b10f1.jpg
The price is still in a growing position on the four-hour chart, but the leading indicator Marlin is already turning down. We are waiting for the development of events. *The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade. Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for AUD/USD on March 30, 2020

AUD/USD
The Australian pound grew by 122 points on Friday, with the upper shadow marking the enclosed line of the price channel. Today in the Asian session there is an intention of the price to move down from the achieved resistance. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator also touched the boundary with the growth territory and turns around from it. The purpose of the decline, in the case of a confirmed reversal, becomes the underlying price channel line in the region of 0.5838.

analytics5e817ab0111e0.jpg


The price exit above Friday's high could extend the aussie's growth to the upper embedded line of the price channel at the intersection with the Fibonacci level of 76.4% at 0.6410. The MACD line also tends to this point.

analytics5e817ac35ccc1.jpg


On the four-hour chart according to Marlin, a double divergence has formed, the sign of a reversal has strengthened.

Trading recommendations. It is advisable to open sales directly from current levels with consolidating profit in front of the level of 0.5838, S/L 0.6206. If the price goes above 0.6206, we buy with a target in front of the level of 0.6410, S/L 0.6113.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for USD/JPY on March 31, 2020

USD/JPY
Today, the dollar is correcting up against the yen after the previous four-day fall. The closest and most powerful correction resistance is the MACD line on the daily chart on the price of 109.05. Departure of the price to support the price channel line at 107.02 opens the way to the lower channel line to the 102.60 area. Consolidating the price over the MACD line puts the dollar in a very difficult position of uncertainty of freely roaming in the 109.05-111.88 range, which in practice can mean that a certain range could form - a triangle or a flag.

analytics5e82b7e1c3c50.jpg


The situation is completely decreasing on the four-hour chart: the price is below the indicator lines, the Marlin oscillator is in the negative zone. From which, however, shows the intention to leave. Growth may continue to the MACD line at 109.70, which is higher than the resistance of the MACD line on the daily scale. Even in this discrepancy, uncertainty and possibility that the price could roam around begins. But all this uncertainty is related only to growth. Leaving the price below the linear support of 107.02 opens the way to a decrease to 102.60.

analytics5e82b7f518372.jpg


*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 1, 2020

EUR/USD
Yesterday, the euro launched an attack on the strong technical support of 1.0967, formed by the point of intersection with the line of the descending price channel and the Fibonacci level of 38.2%, as can be seen on the daily scale chart. At the same time, the price tried to gain a foothold under the MACD indicator line, but it returned to this line by the time the session ended.

analytics5e840e41202ba.jpg


Today, it opened under the MACD line and under the balance line (red indicator), which indicates the market's intention to repeat the attack at 1.0967. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator moves parallel to the boundary with the territory of the bears, waiting for a signal from the price itself.

analytics5e840e546c3ba.jpg


Marlin is already in the negative trend zone on the four-hour chart, while the price is kept above the balance and MACD lines. An attack pattern is created for the MACD line, that is, to the target level of 1.0875, determined at the low of October 1, 2019.

So, if yesterday's high of 1.1053 is not violated, short positions in the market can be opened with the target of 1.0875. Stop loss above 1.1053.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for USD/JPY on April 1, 2020 USD/JPY The second day, the yen is kept in the range of two lines of the price channel (107.02-107.55). Foreign markets, primarily stock indices, are falling, which continues to put pressure on the pair and increases the likelihood of a price drop to the 102.60 target, determined by the price channel on the daily chart. The Marlin oscillator is staying in the declining trend zone. The S&P 500 lost 4.41% yesterday, while the Nikkei 225 is losing 0.86% today in the Asian session.
analytics5e85787a6f97c.jpg
A convergence has formed on the four-hour chart according to Marlin, but if a price reduction occurs in the next few hours, then a convergence will not form, the growth of the oscillator will take on the character of an indicator discharge before a further decrease.
analytics5e85788d3574e.jpg
If the price drops below yesterday's low of 106.93, sales may be opened with a target above 102.60, s/l above 107.85. Overcoming the price of the upper limit of the range does not lead to opening purchases, since the growth rate is uncertain, it ranges from a little above 107.85 (false puncture) to 109.70 - the MACD line on daily, or even higher - up to 109.80, to the MACD line on H4. Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for GBP/USD on April 3, 2020

GBP/USD
The British pound has been moving sideways for five sessions along the 138.2% Fibonacci line. The short-term price drop on March 31 does not break the overall picture. If the price goes out of the range, it will trigger a further increase in the price to the Fibonacci levels of 123.6% and 110.0% - to the prices of 1.2540 and 1.2645, respectively. The resistance of the second target is boosted by the approaching MACD line. The targets of the downward movement are the Fibonacci levels of 161.8% and 200.0% at the price levels of 1.2235 and 1.1935.

analytics5e86d0dfc9065.jpg


We will highlight the signal levels on a smaller scale chart. These are: 1.2484 - March 27 peak and 1.2329 - April 1 low. Accordingly, at the moment of overcoming the price of 1.2484, purchases with goals up to 1.2645 are possible, with overcoming the price of 1.2329, it is advised to open sales with the goal of 1.1935. The intermediate target is 1.2030, which the MACD line is aiming for. If the price reverses from this level, it is advisable to close a short position.

analytics5e86d0f3b081d.jpg


Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD for 07/04/2020:

analytics5e8c16a7482fa.jpg


Technical Market Outlook:
The EUR/USD pair has hit the technical support at the level of 1.0767 and is trying to bounce higher. The current price action acts as there is a Double Bottom pattern made around the support, so the odds for a rally are quite high. The first obstacle is the technical resistance located at the level of 1.0888, but the oversold market conditions on H4 time frame chart might be helpful to the bulls. If they manage to break through this level, then in the same time, they will break out of the descending channel, and this should accelerate the rally towards the level of 1.0951. On the other hand, a failure to break out will likely result in deepening the move down and new local lows will be made. The next technical support is seen at the bottom of the swing at 1.0654 and 1.0635.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - 1.1359
WR2 - 1.1244
WR1 - 1.0981
Weekly Pivot - 1.0872
WS1 - 1.0612
WS2 - 1.0487
WS3 - 1.0228

Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. ON the EUR/USD pair the main trend is down, but the reversal is possible when the coronavirus pandemic will be tamed. The key long-term technical support is seen at the level of 1.0336 and the key long-term technical resistance is seen at the level of 1.1540. Only if one of this levels is clearly violated, the main trend might reverse (1.1540) or accelerate (1.0336).

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for 08/04/2020:

Crypto Industry News:

A new PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) report showed that fundraising and cryptography mergers and acquisitions (M&A) fell last year, but that doesn't mean the cryptographic market is dying out.

It seems that the cryptographic industry cannot attract investment from institutional investors. The giant of professional PwC services said that the number and value of fundraising as well as mergers and acquisitions showed a sharp decline last year. Cryptography-related mergers and acquisitions dropped by 76% to $ 451 million in 2019, from over $ 1.9 billion in the previous year. The amount of funds raised decreased by 40% to USD 2.24 billion.

Cryptocurrency space could not attract mainstream investment, despite the fact that Bitcoin grew strongly in the second and third quarters of 2019. In July, the price reached a peak of over $ 13,500.

Given the current COVID pandemic, the report's authors argue that the cryptocurrency market will not attract mainstream investment in the near future. High volatility due to coronavirus panic and the economic downturn does not bode well for the space being created. It seems that the cryptographic industry is not resistant to global winds, and the number and value of fundraising and merger transactions can be affected in 2020.

Technical Market Outlook:
The ETH/USD high located at the level of $175.00 is still an important target for bulls that are still trying to make use of the momentum behind the recent move up and move higher towards the level of $176.78, which is a technical resistance for the price. On the other hand, if the bulls fail here, (there is a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern present on H4 time frame chart), then the next taechnical support is seen at the level of $156.24 - $153.46. Please notice the increasing momentum on ETH/USD on H4 time frame chart during the last move up.

Weekly Pivot Points:
WR3 - $180.45
WR2 - $163.97
WR1 - $154.32
Weekly Pivot - $137.76
WS1 - $127.39
WS2 - $112.43
WS3 - $101.19

Trading Recommendations:
The fear of the coronavirus consequences is very strong among the global investors and it rules on the financial markets. So far the global investors are not so keen to invest in cryptocurrency, because they are being perceived as risky assets. The larger time frame trend on Ethereum remains down and as long as the level of $214.67 is not violated, all rallies will be treated as a counter-trend corrective moves. This is why the short positions are now more preferred.

analytics5e8d67d95da05.jpg


Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for AUD/USD on April 9, 2020

AUD / USD
The Australian dollar reached its upper target of 0.6249 (February 2009 low) yesterday. Now, the question is: will it turn into a medium-term decline today, or mark the MACD line on the daily time frame (0.6354). The Marlin oscillator indicates a reversal, but it does not stop the price from rising by another hundred points.

On the four-hour chart, there is a sign that an extended divergence on the Marlin oscillator is forming. The signal is twofold; on the one hand, it indicates the intention of the price to move downwards from the current levels, on the other, the divergence may dissolve in the continued growth of the indicator itself.

A clear signal of a trend reversal will be the price overcoming the support of the MACD line at around 0.6090.

So, with the price breaking the signal level of 0.6090, it is recommended to open short positions with a goal before 0.5820 and stop loss above 0.6115.

Analysis are provided by InstaForex
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for AUD/USD on April 10, 2020

AUD/USD
The Australian dollar rose by 109 points on Thursday, halting growth before the MACD line on the daily scale chart. The price could turn down from the current levels, maybe a little later, with preliminary testing of the embedded line of the price channel at the level of 0.6400.

analytics5e8feaccb4139.jpg


The condition for a reversal is that the price goes under the price channel line at 0.6185, and the movement is aimed at the trend line of 0.5815.

analytics5e8feadfbf3f3.jpg


The Marlin oscillator forms a downward turn on the four-hour chart. The signal level of 0.6185 of the higher timeframe coincides with the April 1 peak (tick) and with the support of the MACD line, where it can be in a day, that is, on Monday morning.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 13, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro made minor fluctuations before the resistance of the embedded line of the downward price channel on Friday, as the markets in Europe and the United States were closed. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator unfolds from the border with the growth territory. A synchronous downward reversal of the price and the indicator is possible.

analytics5e93e7595c1ca.jpg


Marlin turned lower on the four-hour chart. A stable condition for the euro's fall is when the price leaves the area below the MACD line in 1.0840. In this case, the target of the movement is the lower line of the price channel at 1.0615 (daily).

analytics5e93e76bb5935.jpg


But until the signal level has been overcome, the price can still make a false puncture of the upper line of the price channel by testing the November 2019 low (1.0980), or the MACD line on the daily (blue indicator) in the area of 1.0990.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 14, 2020

EUR/USD The euro fell by 22 points on Monday, rebounding from the blue line of the price channel on the daily chart. The leading indicator Marlin is in no hurry to turn around, holding on to the border with the territory of growth. This may be a sign of another small upward movement before the medium-term drop. The MACD line in the region of 1.0980 or slightly higher can be tested.

analytics5e953969ba597.jpg


On the four-hour chart, the price develops above the indicator lines of balance and MACD, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator is confidently decreasing here, but has yet to leave the growth zone, which in total does not cancel the option with the final price increase. The situation will change abruptly to a downward trend with the price moving under the MACD line at 1.0860. The 1.0615 target will open – the embedded lower line of the price channel on the daily chart.

analytics5e95397c493f3.jpg


*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 15, 2020

EUR/USD
On Tuesday, the euro worked out an option with a push to the MACD line on the daily chart, but the market is starting to seriously try to move to the target of 1.1175 on the nested price channel line. This scenario will begin to be implemented with the release of prices above the MACD line, that is, above 1.1000. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator has entered the territory of a growing trend.

analytics5e96741413b37.jpg


The price is rising on a four-hour chart, and it is above the balance and MACD line, while Marlin turned up before the division of trends.

analytics5e96742a4eb19.jpg


The market still has a chance of a price reversal and a medium-term fall in the euro, but for this to happen, the price needs to consolidate under the MACD line, below 1.0890.

Thus, with the price above 1.1000, purchases with a take profit below 1.1175 and stop loss below 1.0950 (under the line of the price channel) can be opened. Sales, in turn, can be opened with withdrawal prices below 1.0890.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 16, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro did not do anything unnecessary, nor did it make any false movements on Wednesday, turning down exactly from the MACD line on the daily chart. Simultaneously with the price reversal, the signal line of the Marlin oscillator turned down from the border of the growth territory (the exit above the zero line was insignificant, which can not even be called false). Now the euro's target is the embedded price channel line around 1.0610.

analytics5e97d046aba82.jpg


This morning, the price retreated under the balance and MACD indicator lines on the four-hour chart, the Marlin oscillator has consolidated on the declining trend zone. We are expecting the price to fall to the designated goal.

analytics5e97d05922c57.jpg


*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 17, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro continued its planned decline from a technical point of view on Thursday. Losses amounted to 70 points as investors withdrew to a safe dollar, since the latest data on new weekly applications for unemployment benefits reached 5.245 million and bookmarks of new homes fell to 2.22 million in March against the expectation of 1.31 million. In addition, the business index activity in the manufacturing sector of Philadelphia fell from -12.7 to -56.6 in April, to a record since August 1980.

analytics5e9922475408b.jpg


The price is decreasing under the balance and MACD indicator lines on the daily scale chart, and the Marlin oscillator is fixed in the decline zone. We expect the euro to support the embedded price channel line around 1.0610.

analytics5e992259d055f.jpg


The price is also under the balance and MACD lines on the four-hour chart, Marlin is in the negative trend territory.

The signal level for opening sales is the April 8 low at a price of 1.0830. Stop loss at 1.0880, take profit before 1.0610. Intermediate goal of 1.0768.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 

InstaForex Gertrude

Active member
Forecast for EUR/USD on April 20, 2020

EUR/USD
The euro did not dare to make any noticeable decline last Friday, moreover, it even grew by 35 points by preceding to pierce the signal level for selling 1.0830. Now this signal level is moving lower - to the Friday low at the 1.0812 level, overcoming the price opens the way to support the embedded line of the price channel in the region of 1.0610.

analytics5e9d20dc6873d.jpg


The overall situation of a decline persists on the four-hour chart. The price is developing under both indicator lines - under the line of balance (red) and MACD (blue), the Marlin oscillator in the territory of negative values.

The price increase is limited by the resistance of the MACD line at around 1.0920.

analytics5e9d20eeec659.jpg


*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Analysis are provided byInstaForex.
 
Top