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Gold Subdued As Equities Edge Higher Gold prices were flat to slightly lower on Wednesday and equities edged higher as traders cheered positive updates on a potential Covid-19 vaccine and pinned hopes on EU stimulus.

Biotech firm Moderna said its experimental vaccine for Covid-19, mRNA-1273, showed it was safe and produced strong immune responses in all 45 patients in an ongoing early-stage human trial.

EU leaders are set to meet later this week for an extraordinary summit and it is expected that they will agree on a recovery fund of 750 billion euros for pandemic-hammered economies.

Both spot gold and U.S. gold futures were down 0.1 percent at $1,811.85 per ounce and $1,811.95, respectively. Diplomatic tensions between the United States and China as well as concerns over the recovery of the global economy helped limit the downside for the yellow metal.

After U.S. President Donald Trump ordered an end to Hong Kong's special status under U.S. law, Beijing vowed retaliatory sanctions against U.S. individuals and entities.

"Hong Kong affairs are purely China's internal affairs and no foreign country has the right to interfere," China's foreign ministry said.

U.S. Federal Reserve officials warned that the U.S. economy will recover more slowly than expected, as cases continue to surge across the country leading many states to impose restrictions on movement and stay-at-home advisories.
 

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European Economics Preview: ECB Monetary Policy Announcement Due

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The interest rate announcement from the European Central Bank is due on Thursday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

The ECB is expected to leave its key interest rate, which is the rate on the main refinancing operations, at a record low zero percent. No new measures are expected at the meeting. The announcement is due at 7.45 am ET.

ECB President Christine Lagarde is set to hold customary press conference at 8.30 am ET.

At 2.00 am ET, the Office for National Statistics is slated to issue UK labor market statistics. The jobless rate is forecast to rise to 4.2 percent in three months to May from 3.9 percent in three months to April.

In the meantime, the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association publishes Europe's new car registrations data for June.

At 2.45 am ET, France's statistical office Insee is scheduled to issue final consumer prices for June. According to preliminary estimate, inflation eased to 0.1 percent, which was the lowest since May 2016.

At 4.00 am ET, Italy's foreign trade data for May is due. The trade deficit totaled EUR 1.15 billion in April.

In the meantime, Bank of England's credit conditions survey data is due.

At 5.00 am ET, Eurostat releases euro area foreign trade data for May. The trade surplus totaled EUR 2.9 billion in April.

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European Economics Preview: Eurozone Final Inflation Data Due

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Final consumer price data from euro area is due on Friday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

At 3.00 am ET, the Czech Statistical Office releases producer prices for June. Prices are expected to fall 0.1 percent annually following a 0.9 percent drop in May.

At 4.00 am ET, Italy's Istat is slated to issue industrial orders data for May. Orders had declined 32.2 percent on month in April.

In the meantime, wage growth from Poland is due. Economists forecast corporate sector wages to climb 1.5 percent on year, faster than the 1.2 percent rise in May.

At 5.00 am ET, Eurostat releases euro area final consumer prices for June. Inflation is expected to rise to 0.3 percent in June, as initially estimated, from a near four-year low of 0.1 percent in May.

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European Economics Preview: Eurozone Current Account Data Due

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Current account data from euro area is due on Monday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is scheduled to release Germany's producer prices for June. Prices are forecast to drop 1.6 percent annually, slower than the 2.2 percent fall seen in May.

At 3.00 am ET, unemployment data is due from Slovakia. Economists forecast the jobless rate to rise to 8 percent in June from 7.2 percent in May.

At 4.00 am ET, the European Central Bank releases euro area current account data for May. The surplus totaled EUR 14.4 billion in April.

In the meantime, industrial production and producer prices are due from Poland. Industrial production is expected to fall 6.9 percent on year in June, slower than the 17 percent fall seen in May. Economists forecast producer prices to drop 1 percent annually, smaller than the 1.5 percent fall in May.

At 6.00 am ET, Germany's central bank publishes monthly report.

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Japan Overall Inflation Gains 0.1% On Year In June

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Consumer prices in Japan were up 0.1 percent on year in June, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said on Tuesday - in line with expectations and unchanged from the May reading.

Core CPI, which excludes volatile food prices, was unchanged on an annual basis - versus forecasts for a drop of 0.1 percent following the 0.2 percent decline in the previous month.

Individually, prices were higher annually for food, housing, furniture, clothing, medical care and recreation. They were lower for fuel, communications and education.

On a monthly basis, overall and core CPI both added a seasonally adjusted 0.1 percent.

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Australia's Retail Sales Increase In June

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Australia's retail sales increased in June largely driven by cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services, preliminary data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed Wednesday.

Retail turnover advanced 2.4 percent on a monthly basis in June but slower than the 16.9 percent increase in May.

Year-on-year, turnover grew 8.2 percent.

Rises in June were led by cafes, restaurants and takeaway food services, and clothing, footwear and personal accessory retailing. While some restrictions on trade remained in June, many businesses in these industries saw a full month of trade, having been closed for the first week of May, the ABS said.

Turnover in these industries remained below the levels of June 2019.

Food retailing gained 0.9 percent, with a rise in supermarkets and grocery stores offset by a fall in liquor retailing.

Meanwhile, household goods retailing fell in June but this industry continued to trade significantly above the levels of June 2019. Department stores dropped 12 percent following a large rise in May.

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European Economics Preview: Germany GfK Consumer Confidence Data Due

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Consumer confidence from Germany is due on Thursday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

At 2.00 am ET, Germany's Gfk consumer confidence survey results are due. The forward-looking consumer sentiment index is expected to rise to -5 in August from -9.6 in July.

In the meantime, unemployment data is due from Statistics Norway. At 2.45 am ET, the statistical office Insee is scheduled to release France's business confidence survey data. Economists forecast the index to climb to 85 in July from 77 in June.

At 3.30 am ET, Statistics Sweden publishes unemployment data for June.

Half an hour later, unemployment data is due from Poland. The jobless rate is seen at 6.2 percent in June versus 6 percent in May.

At 6.00 am ET, the Confederation of British Industry is slated to issue Industrial Trends survey data. The order book balance is forecast to improve to -38 in July from -58 in June.

At 7.00 am ET, Turkey's central bank is set to announce its interest rate decision. The bank is expected to hold its one-week repo rate at 8.25 percent.

At 10.00 am ET, Eurozone flash consumer confidence survey data is due. The sentiment index is seen rising to -12 in July from -14.7 in June.

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European Economics Preview: Eurozone Flash PMI Data Due

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Flash Purchasing Managers' survey data from euro area and retail sales from the UK are due on Friday, headlining a busy day for the European economic news.

At 2.00 am ET, the Office for National Statistics releases UK retail sales for June. Economists forecast sales to rise 8 percent on month, slower than the 12 percent increase in May.

At 3.00 am ET, producer prices from Spain and industrial production from Austria are due. At 3.15 am ET, IHS Markit is scheduled to issue France's flash Purchasing Managers' survey data. The composite PMI is seen rising to 53.5 in July from 51.7 in June.

At 3.30 am ET, Germany's flash PMI data is due. Economists forecast the composite indicator to improve to 50.3 in July from 47.0 in June.

At 4.00 am ET, IHS Markit is set to publish euro area PMI data. The flash composite output index is expected to rise to 51.1 in July from 48.5 in June.

Half an hour later, UK flash composite PMI survey data is due. The composite index is seen at 51.1 in July versus 47.7 in the previous month.

At 6.30 am ET, Russia's central bank is set to announce its interest rate decision. Economists expect the central bank to cut its key rate to 4.25 percent from 4.50 percent.

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China's Industrial Profits Increase At Faster Pace

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China's industrial profits increased at a faster pace of June as easing of the coronavirus containment measures boosted manufacturing activity, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Monday.

Industrial profits grew 11.5 percent on a yearly basis in June, following a 6 percent rise in May.

Profits of steel 35.3 percent and that of non-ferrous metals grew 24.1 percent in June.

Nonetheless, the statistical office said the sustainability of industrial profits is uncertain, the statistical office.

In the first half of 2020, industrial profits declined 12.8 percent from the same period last year. Iris Pang, an economist at ING said the decline in Covid-19 cases and relaxation of restrictions are positive for domestic demand and for related manufacturing activity. Some recovery from Covid-19 in parts of the rest of the world will also have helped China's manufacturing output and profitability in June, the economist said.

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European Economics Preview: UK Mortgage Approvals Data Due

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Mortgage approvals the UK and consumer confidence from France are due on Wednesday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is slated to issue Germany's import prices for June. Economists forecast prices to fall 5.1 percent on year, slower than the 7 percent decrease seen in May.

At 2.45 am ET, France's statistical office Insee is set to publish consumer sentiment survey results. The confidence index is seen rising to 99 in July from 97 in June. At 3.00 am ET, the Swedish National Institute of Economic Research releases economic tendency survey data.

In the meantime, retail sales from Spain, unemployment from Hungary and foreign trade figures from Turkey are due. Economists forecast Spain retail sales to decline 17.6 percent annually in June, following a 19 percent drop in May.

At 4.00 am ET, producer prices from Italy and manufacturing PMI data from Austria are due.

Half an hour later, Bank of England is scheduled to issue UK mortgage approvals data for June. The number of mortgages approved in June is forecast to advance to 33,900 from 9,273 in May.

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Australia Building Approvals Sink 4.9% In June

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The total number of building permits issued in Australia was down a seasonally adjusted 4.9 percent on month in June, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Thursday - coming in at 12,213.

That missed expectations for an increase of 1.5 percent following the 15.8 percent contraction in May.

On a yearly basis, consents were down 15.8 percent.

Consents for private sector houses were down 5.7 percent on month and 7.0 percent on year at 8,070 - while consents for private sector dwellings excluding houses sank 5.3 percent on month and 30.5 percent on year at 3,782.

The seasonally adjusted estimate of the value of total building approved rose 7.3 percent in June. The value of non-residential building rose 17.8 percent, while the value of residential building rose 0.1 percent.

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Japan Industrial Production Gains 2.7% In June

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Industrial output in Japan was up a seasonally adjusted 2.7 percent on month in June, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on Friday.

That beat forecasts for a gain of 1.2 percent following the 8.9 percent decline in May.

On a yearly basis, industrial production sank 17.7 percent - again beating forecasts for a fall of 20 percent following the 26.3 percent contraction in the previous month.

Industries that contributed to the monthly increase included motor vehicle, production machinery and plastic products - offset by weakness from chemicals, paper and other manufacturing.

Upon the release of the data, the METI upgraded its assessment of industrial production, saying that it has bottomed out and shows signs of picking up movement.

Shipments were up 5.2 percent on month and down 16.3 percent on year, while inventories fell 2.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. The inventory ratio sank 7.0 percent on month but surged 22.7 percent on year.

According to the METI's Survey of Production Forecast, output is expected to rise 11.3 percent on month in June and 3.4 percent in August.

Also on Friday, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said that Japan's unemployment rate came in at a seasonally adjusted 2.8 percent in June. That beat forecasts for 3.1 percent and was down from 2.9 percent in May.

The job-to-applicant ration fell to 1.11, missing expectations for 1.16 and down from 1.2 in the previous month.

The number of employed persons in June was 66.70 million, a decrease of 770,000 from the previous year. The number of unemployed persons in June was 1.95 million, an increase of 330,000 from the previous year.

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Japan Industrial Production Gains 2.7% In June

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Industrial output in Japan was up a seasonally adjusted 2.7 percent on month in June, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on Friday.

That beat forecasts for a gain of 1.2 percent following the 8.9 percent decline in May.

On a yearly basis, industrial production sank 17.7 percent - again beating forecasts for a fall of 20 percent following the 26.3 percent contraction in the previous month.

Industries that contributed to the monthly increase included motor vehicle, production machinery and plastic products - offset by weakness from chemicals, paper and other manufacturing.

Upon the release of the data, the METI upgraded its assessment of industrial production, saying that it has bottomed out and shows signs of picking up movement.

Shipments were up 5.2 percent on month and down 16.3 percent on year, while inventories fell 2.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. The inventory ratio sank 7.0 percent on month but surged 22.7 percent on year.

According to the METI's Survey of Production Forecast, output is expected to rise 11.3 percent on month in June and 3.4 percent in August.

Also on Friday, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said that Japan's unemployment rate came in at a seasonally adjusted 2.8 percent in June. That beat forecasts for 3.1 percent and was down from 2.9 percent in May.

The job-to-applicant ration fell to 1.11, missing expectations for 1.16 and down from 1.2 in the previous month.

The number of employed persons in June was 66.70 million, a decrease of 770,000 from the previous year. The number of unemployed persons in June was 1.95 million, an increase of 330,000 from the previous year.

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Japan Industrial Production Gains 2.7% In June

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Industrial output in Japan was up a seasonally adjusted 2.7 percent on month in June, the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry said on Friday.

That beat forecasts for a gain of 1.2 percent following the 8.9 percent decline in May.

On a yearly basis, industrial production sank 17.7 percent - again beating forecasts for a fall of 20 percent following the 26.3 percent contraction in the previous month.

Industries that contributed to the monthly increase included motor vehicle, production machinery and plastic products - offset by weakness from chemicals, paper and other manufacturing.

Upon the release of the data, the METI upgraded its assessment of industrial production, saying that it has bottomed out and shows signs of picking up movement.

Shipments were up 5.2 percent on month and down 16.3 percent on year, while inventories fell 2.4 percent on month and 3.4 percent on year. The inventory ratio sank 7.0 percent on month but surged 22.7 percent on year.

According to the METI's Survey of Production Forecast, output is expected to rise 11.3 percent on month in June and 3.4 percent in August.

Also on Friday, the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications said that Japan's unemployment rate came in at a seasonally adjusted 2.8 percent in June. That beat forecasts for 3.1 percent and was down from 2.9 percent in May.

The job-to-applicant ration fell to 1.11, missing expectations for 1.16 and down from 1.2 in the previous month.

The number of employed persons in June was 66.70 million, a decrease of 770,000 from the previous year. The number of unemployed persons in June was 1.95 million, an increase of 330,000 from the previous year.

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Malaysia Manufacturing Sector Steady In July - Markit Economics

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The manufacturing sector in Malaysia was roughly flat in July, the latest survey from Markit Economics showed on Monday with a manufacturing PMI score of 50.0.

That's down from 51.0 in June and it now sits right on the line that separates expansion from contraction.

Individually, output rose for the second straight month, while firms remained optimistic about their 12-month outlook.

Input prices rose at their fastest pace since October 2018.

A lack of pressure on capacity, and efforts to limit input costs, led to further caution among manufacturers when making hiring decisions. Employment was consequently scaled back for the fourth month running.

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European Economics Preview: Eurozone PPI Data Due

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Producer price data from euro area is due on Tuesday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

At 1.45 am ET, the State Secretariat for Economic Affairs is scheduled to issue Swiss consumer sentiment data for the third quarter.

At 3.00 am ET, monthly unemployment data from Spain and producer prices from Hungary are due.

In the meantime, consumer and producer price figures are due from Turkey. Inflation is expected to ease to 12.1 percent in July from 12.62 percent in June.

At 5.00 am ET, Eurostat is slated to issue Eurozone producer prices for June. Economists forecast producer prices to fall 3.9 percent annually, following a 5 percent decrease in May.

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Australia Home Loans Rise 5.5% In June

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The total value of owner-occupied home loans in Australia was up a seasonally adjusted 5.5 percent on month in June, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday - coming in at A$12.99 billion.

That follows the 10.2 percent decline in May.

Investment lending was up 8.1 percent to A$4.44 billion after tumbling 15.6 percent in the previous month.

On a yearly basis, owner-occupied home loans were up 8.7 percent and investment lending sank 6.1 percent.

Fixed term loans rose 5.2 percent on month and fell 10.9 percent on year to A$1.51 billion.

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European Economics Preview: Bank Of England Rate Decision Due

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The Bank of England is expected to keep its key interest rate and quantitative easing unchanged on Thursday. The monetary policy announcement is due at 2.00 am ET. After expanding the QE by GBP 100 billion in June, markets expect the bank to hold the programme at GBP 745 billion and the interest rate at a historic low of 0.10 percent.

In the quarterly monetary policy report, to be released with the monetary policy report, the bank is expected to forecast a slow economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

At 2.00 am ET, Destatis is scheduled to release Germany's industrial orders data. Industrial orders are expected to grow 10.1 percent on month in June, slower than the 10.4 percent rise in May.

At 3.00 am ET, industrial production and foreign trade figures are due from the Czech Republic. Economists forecast production to shrink 14.3 percent on year in June, slower than the 25.7 percent decline in May.

In the meantime, industrial output data is due from Hungary. Output is seen falling 11 percent in June versus a 30.7 percent decrease in May.

Half an hour later, IHS Markit releases Germany's construction PMI data.

At 4.00 am ET, industrial output data is due from Italy. Economists forecast production to grow moderately by 5.1 percent on month after surging 42.1 percent in May.

At 4.30 am ET, UK IHS Markit/CIPS construction PMI data is due. The PMI is forecast to rise to 57.0 in July from 55.3 in June.

At 8.30 am ET, the Czech National Bank interest rate announcement is due. The bank is expected to hold its key rate at 0.25 percent.

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China Consumer Prices Climb 2.7% On Year In July

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Consumer prices in China were up 2.7 percent on year in July, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Monday.

That exceeded expectations for an increase of 2.6 percent and was up from the 2.5 percent gain in June.

On a monthly basis, inflation rose 0.6 percent - again topping forecasts for a rise of 0.4 percent following the 0.1 percent decline in the previous month.

The bureau also said the producer prices were down 2.4 percent on year versus expectations for a fall of 2.5 percent after skidding 3.0 percent a month earlier.

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European Economics Preview: UK Unemployment Data Due

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Labor market statistics from the UK and economic confidence from Germany are due on Tuesday, headlining a light day for the European economic news.

At 1.00 am ET, July unemployment data is due from Sweden. The jobless rate stood at 9 percent in June.

At 2.00 am ET, the Office for National Statistics is set to issue the UK unemployment data. The jobless rate is forecast to rise to 4.2 percent in three months to June from 3.9 percent in three months to May.

At 3.00 am ET, consumer price data is due from Hungary. Inflation is forecast to rise to 3.2 percent in July from 2.9 percent in June.

At 5.00 am ET, Germany's ZEW economic confidence survey results are due. The economic sentiment index is forecast to fall to 58.0 in August from 59.3 in July.

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Australia Wage Prices Rise 1.8% On Year In Q2

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Wage prices in Australia were up 1.8 percent on year in the second quarter of 2020, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said on Wednesday.

That was shy of expectations for 1.9 percent and down from 2.1 percent in the three months prior.

On a seasonally adjusted quarterly basis, wage prices rose 0.2 percent - also missing forecasts for 0.3 percent and down from 0.5 percent in the previous three months.

Private sector wages gained 0.1 percent on quarter and 1.7 percent on year, while public sector wages climbed 0.6 percent on quarter and 2.1 percent on year.

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